Archives: August 2011

BNY/Mellon to Charge Customers for ‘Sitting in Cash’

 

Editor’s Note: This is disgusting. Anyone who has dealings with this outfit shoudl cease those dealings at once, hopefully forcing this brazen bank into insolvency and eventually out of existence. Of course they’d want a bailout first..  

Bank of New York Mellon Corp. on Thursday took the extraordinary step of telling large clients it will charge them to hold cash.

Bank of New York Mellon is preparing to charge some large depositors to hold their cash, in the latest sign of the worries roiling global markets. Liz Rappaport has details.

The unusual move means some U.S. depositors will have to pay to keep big chunks of money in a bank, marking a stark new phase of the long-running global financial crisis.

The shift is also emblematic of the strains plaguing the U.S. economy. Fearful corporations and investors have been socking away cash in their bank accounts rather than put it into even the safest investments.

The giant bank, which specializes in handling funds for financial institutions and corporations, will begin assessing a fee next week on customers that have been flooding the bank with dollars, Bank of New York told clients in a note reviewed by The Wall Street Journal.

The decision won’t affect individual savers, who already are stuck with near zero interest rates as the Federal Reserve keeps rates low to support a soft economy. But it is a glaring sign that corporate executives, bank leaders and money-market fund managers are fleeing from risk and hoarding cash as the recovery threatens to peter out.

A Bank of New York Mellon spokesman said, “the vast majority of clients will not be affected by the proposed fee.”

The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged 512.76 points Thursday. The one-month Treasury bill traded at a negative yield for the first time since June—signaling that investors are so worried that they are prepared to pay the government to take their money.

The letter said Bank of New York finds its deposits “suddenly and substantially increasing” as investors are in a mass “de-risk” mode. The bank said the decision was driven by the fact that it cannot invest much of the new deposits because clients have the ability to move the funds out at any moment.

The ultra-low interest rates set by the Federal Reserve in an effort to stimulate the anemic recovery have also neutered banks’ ability to reap profits from investing their deposits.

In times of crisis, the Markets Hub roundtable discusses where investors can look to for the last few safe havens and whether the answer lies in gold, emerging technology, treasuries or healthcare. (Photo: AP Photo.)

“I’m not surprised BONY is charging,” said Sheila Bair, who left as chairman of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. last month and is now at the Pew Charitable Trusts. “The deposits are transient and given continued economic weakness, there is not a lot it can do with them.”

While other banks haven’t followed Bank of New York in charging depositors, some analysts speculated that rivals might follow suit.

Some corporate executives, meanwhile, took a dim view of the new fee.

“If it’s true, I think it’s atrocious,” Gary Cox, chief financial officer of Champions Life Insurance Co. in Richardson, Texas, told CFO Journal, a news service of The Wall Street Journal. Champions, which has $150 million in assets, has bank accounts with three local Texas firms and J.P. Morgan Chase.

Such a move, he said, “would encourage us to find another bank.”

A spokesman for J.P. Morgan Chase said it has not imposed similar fees.

Over the past two weeks, money-market funds, corporate treasurers and investment houses have pulled money out of securities that mature in more than one day in favor of stashing their cash in bank accounts at Bank of New York and other banks with custodial operations. The accounts don’t earn interest, but have a big attraction: They are insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.

The fastest-growing asset on bank balance sheets this year is cash. Since the beginning of the year, U.S. bank holdings of cash are up 83%, or $890 billion, to $1.98 trillion. Consumer loans, by contrast, have grown 0.2%, or $1.7 billion. Commercial and industrial loans are up 3.8%, or $46.1 billion.

Bank of New York said that customers that have deposited more than $50 million into their accounts since the end of July will face an annual fee of at least 0.13% of the excess deposits. The fee would rise if the one-month Treasury yield dips below zero, according to the letter sent to customers.

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Getty ImagesBank of New York Mellon is preparing to charge some large depositors to hold their cash.

The bank had $162.5 billion in deposits as of March 31.

Holding cash comes at a cost to banks. Bank of New York and others pay fees of about 0.10% to the FDIC to insure their deposits, said people familiar with the matter.

Given the size of recent deposits and the flows in and out of money-market funds, the charges could run into the millions of dollars.

Huge deposit flows pose another problem for banks: They force banks to hold increasing amounts of capital, which they are loath to do because doing so depresses profits—which are already under pressure with a slow economy and rising regulatory demands.

One place banks have turned to put their cash is the Federal Reserve. Since late 2008 it has been paying 0.25% interest on funds banks hold with in reserve with the Fed.

However, banks and economists have speculated that one of the Fed’s options is to reduce or even eliminate that interest payment, hoping to push banks to invest their deposits in the private sector.

The Fed has worried that removing the payment would hurt vulnerable parts of the financial system—namely money-market funds, which would struggle to make profits in a world where interest rates are almost zero.

But with the economy weakening, the Fed is considering all sorts of ways to promote spending, investment and growth.

While financial institutions haven’t rushed to impose commissions, other countries have used negative interest rates to stem a torrent of incoming funds. In 2009, Sweden cut its benchmark interest rate below zero, and in the late 1970s Switzerland’s central bank imposed negative interest rates to slow capital inflows that were driving up the value of the Swiss franc.

Debt Ceiling or QE3? – by Andy Sutton

With the debt deal now signed and the crisis proclaimed to be over by the government and the mainstream lapdog media, it is time to take a serious look at the debauchery that was just perpetrated on the American people – again. The names have barely changed from 2008. The tactics certainly haven’t.  The magic of government accounting has had another chapter added to it as something that actually adds to the deficit and requires money be borrowed on its behalf is now a ‘cut’. Isn’t that just special? There are several big myths about the past few weeks that we need to uncover before anyone is really going to understand what is really going on here.

QE3 in Disguise

QE2 was winding down and when you go back and look at it, the USFed had already been blamed (quite properly too) for record high food prices around the globe and some of the unrest in certain locales as well. The overt monetization stage is generally the last one in the fiat life cycle, and obviously it is in Bernanke et al’s best interests to prolong the fleecing, er, rather prosperity, as long as they possibly can. The debt ceiling non-issue was really a work of semi-genius when you think about it. Set an artificial date for the end of the world, get your buddies in the media to put countdown clocks all over their news broadcasts – really a nice touch guys, and then proceed to scare the daylights out of everyone that those checks might not go out if everyone doesn’t get together and take one for the banksters. Uh, the team. So what really happened on 8/2 anyway? Well, I will tell you. QE3 was born. Come again? Here’s the stick. The consumer is now in pullback mode – again. The government is up against the wall with the full light of day being shown on its foolishness. The only institution with any wiggle room is the fed.

I have gotten confirmation from several well-placed sources that the USFed is now buying nearly 80% of all new Treasury bond issues. Most of these are being purchased directly from the primary dealers, who are required to place bids at all auctions. This is one of the reasons why it seems everyone around the world is divesting; yet the Treasury always has plenty of buyers for new debt. Pension funds and other mutual/closed-end funds are good for most of the rest. So follow the logic. The USFed needs cover to launch another round of monetary stimulus even though the first two were an abysmal failure. The USGovt needs to be able to issue a trainload of bonds to make payments on a bunch of ill-advised promises. The best bet at this point would be to borrow enough to divest everyone from SocSec at a 4% per annum rate and opt everyone out and shut the system down. People could invest their own money accordingly and at least if they blow it, it would be on them. And here’s the carrot: we get a debt ceiling extension for $2.8 trillion-ish and this gives the government the ability to borrow and spend while giving the Fed cover for the next round of semi-overt monetary stimulus. The mechanisms may be slightly different, but this one will likely mimic QE1 and 2 in most ways. The fed will be monetizing debt and the government will be spending more of its borrowed money to try to stimulate an economy, and, more and more lately, appears to be beyond stimulation. It would appear that we’ve now reached the phase in Keynes ‘theory’ where the long run is upon us and we’re not dead so now what? Unfortunately, Keynes left us no answers because there weren’t any and he knew it. This may come as a shock to many Keynes proselytizers, but we’re in uncharted territory, with not even the basis of a clue as to how to right this ship. So what we can expect moving forward is more of the same. The ‘cuts’ in this debt deal, from what I’ve been able to see so far, are going to gut the middle two quartiles of the economy. Not at once or immediately, but slowly. Many of the prescribed cuts won’t happen for a while, but others are yet unknown. The ‘super congress’ will have frighteningly dictatorial powers in deciding the winners and the losers and obviously there will be fierce battles by industries, corporations, banks, and pretty much everyone with a lobbyist – except the American people – to get people sympathetic to their cause on that commission. Go figure that 300 million Americans have not one single suite on K Street. Not even a single kiosk. Nothing.

Priming Demand for GBonds

On cue, USEquity markets have deteriorated over the past several weeks, pushing investor money across the aisle into Treasuries. I have made the case both anecdotally and factually in our paid publication for almost 2 years that the small investor is largely out of markets. Much of Middle America’s investments are in managed plans such as 401s, pension plans, and the like. Funds and banks have been driving the markets for quite some time now, shaving pennies off each other each day, with everyone claiming victory at the end of the quarter. I’ve chronicled how several firms have bragged on quarter long winning streaks. When you look at all the information, it becomes very clear that the big banks are running that show now more than ever. So why the recent selloff?  There are a couple of reasons really, and the first is the easiest to understand. The general public, for the most part, regards the stock market as the economy itself. Running down the markets was one way of making the fear campaign launched by Washington stick. Thanks to subterfuge and disinformation, Main Street really doesn’t understand most of the economic reporting other than unemployment, and perhaps GDP, but it certainly understands the stock market.  Dropping the markets was part of the psyop against the American people over the past several weeks. Secondly, there is typically a flow from more risky to less risky assets. Let me be clear that I preface both of those qualifiers with ‘perceived’. Perceived increased risk in the equity markets will push money into bonds and vice versa. That has been a basic paradigm for many years now and is fairly well understood by most investors. That paradigm is going to be ending in the not-too-distant future, but that is another article for another week.

The mere fact that so much money is piling into the long end of the yield curve reeks of manipulation since it simply defies common sense. A stay of execution is not a pardon, and the ridiculous spending spree in Washington will continue, albeit, most likely to a lesser extent in Middle America’s direction. There will be plenty of money for wars, regulation, and plenty of money for the next bailout when the banksters get zapped (most likely by design) by the derivatives time bomb they’ve created on a global scale. Nothing has been done to alter the trillions that SocSec and Medicare pass onto the nation’s plate in terms of unfunded liabilities each year. Perhaps the plan is simply to make the liabilities go away, and then there will be no need for funding. The supercongress could easily have that as its mandate. It will not be comprised of Ron and Rand Paul types, that is for sure, or even main line fiscal conservatives. Or advocates for the people. I wouldn’t be surprised if General Electric CEO Jeff Immelt wasn’t given a spot despite the fact that he isn’t even a Congressman.

Gold Smells the Rat(s)

In short, the run-up of the bond market is to push the perception that US government bonds are safe. There is likely a minor residual effect from the ongoing (and worsening) crisis in Europe, which is spreading well beyond Greece. Gold is properly responding to the debt and derivatives mess globally. At this point, it is one of the few markets that is ‘working’ yet the mainstream press calls the rally ‘ludicrous’.  And make no mistake, the roiling of markets is just as much about derivatives as anything else. Remember all the credit default swaps that were written on junk US mortgages? There are plenty of those written against various European (and American) government bonds, banks, and pretty much anything else that isn’t bolted down. And the nature of the derivatives time bomb is such that it will not matter where it begins, once the avalanche starts, it will take the entire financial system with it. That is the magnitude of the greed that has been poured into this rather unknown and virtually unregulated arena.

Ratings Russian Roulette

Another benefit to pushing up the bond market is to cover what declines may occur if a ratings agency actually does something other than talk about downgrading USGovt bonds. At this point at least it would appear to be a rather safe bet that this will not happen. Moody’s has already affirmed the top rating while saying everything negative they possible can in a vain attempt to save face. These agencies are merely political animals, serving the masters who pay their exorbitant fees. Nothing more. They are not independent by any stretch, because as anyone can understand, your allegiance is to who pays you. When a bank pays the agency to rate its mortgage tranches, the rating agency has a choice. Make the rating pleasing to the customer or lose the business. It is very simple. Amazingly the agencies essentially admit this, claiming their sovereign ratings are ‘more independent’. More independent than what? Than the AAA ratings slapped on C mortgage tranches?

If the Eurozone nations want the ratings agencies to stop arbitrarily and capriciously downgrading them, then they’d better take some of that rescue fund and send a large check. That is what appears to work best with these firms – a large application of money. There is also a little talked about motivator in there for the ratings agencies to keep the USGovt’s rating sterling. If they cut it that could very well mean that fewer bonds will be issued, and therefore diminished demand for ratings. When in doubt, always, always, follow the money.

There was certainly a lot of borrowed money to be followed today as the debt curve resumed its relentless upward climb to oblivion and the loss of the American standard of living we’ve come to enjoy. Meanwhile, awful economic reports continue to flow out of the various reporting agencies and if nothing else, maybe this time folks will come to understand you just can’t put humpty dumpty back together with endless monetary and fiscal stimulus; it is truly the ultimate exercise in financial futility.

If you haven’t taken an opportunity to download our free report entitled ‘If You Have Paper Assets… There are Three Things You Must Consider’, think about doing so now. As debt contagion swirls in Europe and now on our shores, it is more important than ever to take a protective stance towards the entirety of your assets. Simply Click Here to go to the download page. No obligations, no hassles, just common sense investing wisdom. There are also several other compilations available by clicking the above link as well.

Europe on Brink of ‘Major Financial Collapse’ – Guggenheim CIO

Europe is a “train wreck” and on the “brink of a major financial crisis,” Scott Minerd, CIO of the fixed-income firm Guggenheim Partners, told CNBC Tuesday.

The way Europe is operating right now, it’s what I called recently ‘cognitive dissonance,’” Minerd said, or “basically doing the same thing thinking they’re going to get a different outcome.”

“They keep throwing more and more liquidity at it thinking it’s going to get better and it’s not,” he added. Europe fails to recognize that it has a “structural problem, not a liquidity problem.”

People will “flee the euro” unless they find a way to bifurcate the euro in some way where strong countries are in the euro only and the weak countries are out, Minerd explained, adding, “To be honest with you, I don’t see the mechanism to do that.”

“As the capital is flooding out of Europe, which we’re starting to see now, the first place it’s going to go is to the safe havens—[U.S.] Treasurys, which [the market] perceives to be safe, and it’ll chase gold,” he added.

Compared to a 2 percent return on Treasury notes, investors will eventually say that “stocks with price-earnings multiples of 12 or 13 or 14 look relatively cheap, and the growth for corporate earnings in the United States is very good, and this is likely to help us,” said Minerd.

The United States is “the least dirty shirt in the bag,” Minerd concluded. “We have a very good chance of seeing equitiesup maybe another 10 percent [over the next six months] from where we are.”

 

Silent Run on Greek Banks

In one of the biggest banks in the centre of Athens a clerk is explaining how his savers have been thronging to pull out their cash.

Wary of giving his name, he glances around the marble-floored, wood-panelled foyer before pulling out a slim A4-sized folder. It is about the size of a small safety-deposit box – and those, ever since the financial crisis hit Greece 18 months ago, have become the most sought-after financial products in the country. Worried about whether the banks will stay in business, Greeks have been taking their life savings out of accounts and sticking them in metal slits in basement vaults.

The boxes are so popular that the bank has doubled the rent on them in the past year – and still every day between five and 10 customers request one. This bank ran out of spares months ago. The clerk leans over: “I’ve been working in a bank for 31 years, and I’ve never seen a panic like this.”

Official figures back him up. In May alone, almost €5bn (£4.4bn) was pulled out of Greek deposits, as part of what analysts describe as a “silent bank run”. This version is also disorderly and jittery, just not as obvious. Customers do not form long queues outside branches, they simply squirrel out as much as they can. Some of that money will have been used to pay debts or supplement incomes, of course, but bankers put the sheer volume of withdrawals down to a general fear about the outlook for Greece, one that runs all the way from the humble rainy-day saver to the really big money.

‘Clueless’ government

“Every time the markets move, I get phone calls,” says an Athens-based fund manager. “They’re from investors asking: ‘How can I get my money out of the country?’ ”

One senior investment banker is more blunt: “People are scared that the government doesn’t know what the fuck it’s doing.” He tells a story about an acquaintance who took out €30,000, wrapped it in a bag and stashed it in his garage. “The bag had previously had some food inside,” he says. “So it attracted rats, who ate the notes.”

Bags of money in garages, frightened savers fleeing banks and even the country: these aren’t the sort of stories you associate with a comparatively-prosperous European country, but with a developing one facing a life-or-death economic crash. The fact that they are now emerging from Greece not only indicates the scale of financial distress, it suggests something else: Greece today looks like parts of Latin America in the worst moments of its financial crisis.

In an echo of the days of Jim Callaghan, the International Monetary Fund is back inEurope, doing what it is more accustomed to doing in Buenos Aires or Brasilia: making emergency loans and telling the government how to run its economy. What is more, the scale of the changes an overborrowed Athens is now making are so vast and so rapid that they will leave Greece looking like a different country.

The government itself describes its plan to slash public spending and jack up taxes as one of the most ambitious deficit-reduction programmes in the world. But what often goes missing from this discussion of a fiscal crash-landing is the impact on the lives of citizens who have precious little time to adjust. When salaries of civil servants are slashed by up to 30% within a few months, as happened last year, and over 20% of public-sector workers face unemployment within the next four years – plus whole swathes of national assets are to be privatised before Christmas, with more job losses doubtless to follow – then you are talking about a wholesale transformation of a workforce.

Greece is already one of the poorest and most unequal societies in Europe, reckons Christos Papatheodorou at the Democritus University of Thrace. Among the few countries that look worse are Romania, Bulgaria and Latvia. So what will Greek society look like after the government’s austerity measures take effect? He pauses, then says: “It will probably look like a developing country.”

That message has not been lost on workers either: one of the new nouns used by trade union members and others who oppose the cuts is kinezopeisi, or China-isation. The claim is that such large drops in wages will lead to a workforce paid barely more than their counterparts in Shenzhen.

The oddest thing of all is that some of the leading lights in the government appear to see nothing wrong in a wholesale transformation of Greek society, albeit not into one that resembles an enterprise zone in eastern China. Elena Panaritis is widely tipped as one of the up and comers in Greece’s government, and it is not hard to see why: smart, formidably well-trained in economics after a career with the World Bank, funny and fluent in English, she is exactly the sort of person any prime minister would choose to give a keynote address to fretful institutional investors.

And for a Greek politician involved in pushing through some of the most abruptly painful economic measures in the country’s history, she does not seem especially Greek. When I observe how many Apple computers are in her office, she replies: “That’s because I’m not Greek, I’m American.” Her speech is American-accented and peppered with “darn” and “have a nice day”. When asked to describe how Greece needs to change its economy, her answer revolves around changing its institutions and its structures – in other words, making Greece less Greek. Castigating the bureaucracy, she says: “It’s not a kibbutz, it’s a big country!”

This is a line that you hear often enough from those who want Greece to change. By European standards, Greece has an average-sized public sector, but a very leaky tax collection system. What the public sector is, however, is under-resourced and inefficient. On my last day in the country, I wangle my way inside a public pensions office for those working in the tourism industry: there are just two Dell computers in one large room, and lever-arch files dating back 30 years. No one ever paid for the data to be computerised, I am told, and the result is that one day’s work takes three.

Private sector woes

The other big problem is in the private sector, with few industries that are able to pay their way in the world. Jason Manolopolous, who is author of a new book called Greece’s ‘Odious’ Debt, says that for years Greece was buying more from the rest of the world than it was selling. “We were buying BMWs from the Germans and selling them tomatoes.”

For now, those days are well and truly over. In Athens’ upmarket shopping district of Kolonaki, boutiques that used to have waiting lists for designer handbags have shut. One sign says the owners have relocated – to Rome. In one clothes shop, with racks of discounted Calvin Klein and DKNY, the manager, Sav, explains what’s happened: “In this crisis, the middle classes have been hollowed out.” That is just what happened in Buenos Aires during its crash last decade.

The result is that people who thought themselves used to one way of life, and in one social class, are getting used to a sharp downgrade.

In one factory, where a staff of 200 is now down to 30, the manager points to empty floors and idle machines. They’re now all on unemployment benefit, he says. “Mind you, our pay has been cut too, so we’re not that far off.”

Outside the soup kitchen of the Aghia Triada church in Piraeus, near Athens, more of Greece’s new poor are waiting for a handout. Anna and her two daughters have walked in the midday sun to get here and are now queueing up with the long-term homeless.

That is not Anna’s situation though; she lost her job three years ago but has still hung on to her house. That said, she no longer has the income or the benefits to pay bills and the electricity was cut off last month.

Inside, Pater Daniel, the head priest, says that he’s noticed a lot more “well-dressed, clean” people taking free meals from the church. He reels off stories of a 23-year-old man who left last week for Australia, and a 40-year-old woman who lost her job on Friday.

Because the Greek Orthodox church is partly on the state payroll, the clergyman’s salary has fallen by almost 10% to €15,000 a year.

Is he saying that the Orthodox church is also subject to public spending cuts? Pater Daniel laughs, then holds up five fingers: there are five priests in Piraeus, and soon there will only be one. He’s pondering taking a second job.

“There is too much pain, and people are looking for someone to listen and squeeze their hand.” He sighs. “Everyday I leave this church with a headache.”

Ineffective Stimulus – Part Infinity

Editor’s Note: Washington is wrapping up its latest three-ring circus of which the result is the continuation of the bald-faced lie that the government can prop up the economy with borrowed money. Despite the most massive fiscal and monetary stimulus in history, the USEconomy is dying on the vine. The current exercise was doomed to failure as we pointed out a half decade ago, because it is flawed in principle. Chances are very good that in another year or so when the $2.8T of additional debt headspace has been exhausted, we’ll be worse off than we are today, while owing another quarter of a year’s output to the international banking syndicate.

Manufacturing activity barely grew in July, falling to the weakest level since just after the recession ended.

The Institute for Supply Management, a trade group of purchasing executives, said Monday that its index of manufacturing activity fell to 50.9 percent in July from 55.3 percent in June.

It was the 23rd straight month of growth. But the reading was the lowest reading since July 2009 — one month after the recession officially ended. Any level above 50 indicates growth.

New orders shrank for the first time since the recession ended. Companies slashed their inventories after building them up in June. Output, employment, and prices paid my manufacturers all grew more slowly in July.

The disappointing report on manufacturing is the first major report on how economy performed in July. It suggests the dismal economic growth in the first half of the year could extend into the July-September quarter.

“The ISM manufacturing report for July is a shocker and strongly suggests that the disappointing performance of the economy in the first half of the year was not just temporary,” said Paul Dales, a senior U.S. economist for Capital Economics.

Stocks fell after the report was released. They had risen ahead of the report on the expectation thatCongress will approve a deal Monday to increase the nation’s borrowing limit. The Dow Jones industrial average fell 60 points in early-morning trading, and broader indexes also declined.

In a separate report, the Commerce Department said builders began work on more projects in June, pushing construction spending higher for a third straight month.

Construction spending rose 0.2 percent in June, to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $772.3 billion, the government said. But even with the gains, spending remains slightly above an 11-year low hit in March and is just half of the $1.5 trillion pace considered healthy by most economists.

The economy expanded at a dismal 1.3 percent annual rate in the April-June period after an even worse 0.4 percent increase in the first three months of the year, the government said Friday.

The factory sector has expanded in every month but one since the recession ended in June 2009. The ISM’s index topped 60 for four straight months at the start of the year.

But manufacturing has stumbled in recent months. A parts shortage stemming from Japan’s March 11 earthquake disrupted automakers’ supply chains, cutting into the output of new cars. And high gas prices left Americans with less money to spend on discretionary items, such as vacations, furniture and appliances.

The index fell in May to 53.5 from April’s reading of 60.4. That was the sharpest one-month drop since 1984.

Employers have responded by pulling back on hiring. The economy added just 18,000 net jobs in June, the fewest in nine months, and the unemployment rate rose to 9.2 percent. Hiring by manufacturers was nearly flat in the April-June period.

The government issues its July employment report on Friday.

Several regional manufacturing surveys for the month of July have been mixed. The Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank said its manufacturing index rose to 3.2, signaling that the sector is growing again in that region. It had contracted in June for the first time in nine months.

And a private survey in Chicago showed that manufacturing expanded in July, but at a slower pace than in June.

Meanwhile, a survey by the New York Federal Reserve Bank found regional manufacturing activity shrank in July.

Manufacturing represents only about 11 percent of U.S. economic activity and can contribute only so much to the broader economic recovery. For unemployment to fall significantly, consumer income and spending also must pick up.

The ISM, a trade group of purchasing executives based in Tempe, Ariz., compiles its manufacturing index by surveying about 300 purchasing executives across the country.

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