Divergence continues

Published on: 07/03/2008
Comments: 3 Comments

The divergence between energy prices and the underlying stocks continued today as energy issues, particularly the Canadian energy trusts were routed. After review of the short positions, press releases and fundamentals on a number of the issues we watch, we conclude that the price action is likely indicative of selling to cover the losses of other positions as opposed to a fundamental shift. 

In other news, the Dollar saw a counterintuitive rally as the ECB raised interest rates. Hmmm, ok. This reeks of currency intervention on a day when many traders in the US got an early start to the holiday weekend. The press sold this as a Dollar rally based on the fact that ECB President Trichet gave ‘no bias’ on further rate moves in the Eurozone. Again, the reality is that today the Euro-Dollar spread grew by 25 basis points in favor of the Euro. Rates here are going nowhere soon. Ben Bernanke would rather swim the English Channel than raise rates right now.

In other news, Andy Sutton’s recent interview with Contrary Investor’s Cafe is available - Listen Here

I extend best wishes to all for a somber reflection on our many blessings this Fourth of July.

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